Archive for the ‘Public Policy Polling’ Tag

Huckabee: Tucson, Iowa, and Healthcare

How can I lump all three of these subjects together you ask?  Because in a 24 hour news cycle that never sleeps it is almost inevitable that newsworthy topics pile up on top of each other.

The very little input I am going to give on the Tucson, Arizona, shooting tragedy is this:  the left’s reaction was sickening and the right’s reaction to the left didn’t really leave a good taste in my mouth either.  This is about human life and the ugliness of this world and not politics.  I thought Governor Huckabee had a great response to the whole issue and also to Pres. Obama’s address in his daily radio show The Huckabee Report.

First of all, congratulations to President Obama for what was easily the best speech of his presidency. He struck the exact proper tone in noting that while this does give us an opportunity to reflect upon the importance of being civil in our disagreements that it is wrong to assign blame for the personal violent actions of a mad man to other people’s political speech.

Whether out of bias or a quest for controversy or maybe just out of habit some members of the chattering classes went chasing blindly after an angle that would stir the most heated responses and they lost sight of the real story and that is the worst possible failure for a journalist. Even now after the president spelled it out for them many are still making the same mistake and missing the point about the president’s appearance at the memorial.

It is not about politics, whether it is going to raise his approval ratings or boost his reelection chances, and it certainly isn’t about sleazy opportunists who leapt to blame a senseless tragedy on the political speech of whatever side they disagreed with. No, it was about 20 people in Tucson…. I can’t believe that some people have to be continually reminded of this but some things really are bigger than politics and this is one of them. And all Americans should be grateful to our president for saying it beautifully.

In the week following what happened in Arizona two different polls were released showing Mike Huckabee with solid support for a potential second run for the White House in the First in the Nation caucus state of Iowa.  We all know that Huckabee loves Iowa and it is apparent that the Hawkeye state still supports him as a presidential candidate.  Good news for someone who is still undecided about another presidential campaign and may need a little push.

And lastly, Huckabee remains one of the outspoken voices to repeal the Healthcare Act known as Obamacare.  He just wrote a piece yesterday entitled “The Healthcare Act – Return to Sender” and it starts out like this:

We were told—and sold– everything except the truth about the details in the healthcare act. And then, despite a majority of Americans rejecting this massive change in public policy, Congress enacted it anyway. That’s not the way it’s supposed to work in our representative democracy.

He is also one of the main faces promoting the “Repeal the Healthcare Act Now” campaign with a video ad for http://www.repealitnow.org.  Signatures on the petition for Congress to repeal Obamacare are now over 500,000.

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Mike Huckabee and The Pledge

Just last week Governor Huckabee topped the polls again.  First with the news that he was the only Republican to beat President Obama in a 2012 head-to-head poll and second that he once again tops the polls with a tie for Republican choice for 2012 nominee.

And now just yesterday he released his statement in regards to Republicans’ “Pledge to America.”  Good stuff.  Rumor is that Huckabee has a policy book scheduled to come out early next year.  Hmmmm…….

I read with great interest “A Pledge to America” introduced today by Republican Congressional leaders.

The 21 page document contains many good core conservative ideals – but as my parents taught me as a small child – the proof is always in the puddin’.

Republican Congressional leaders have pledged “to advance policies that promote greater liberty, wider opportunity, a robust defense, and national economic prosperity;” and “to honor families, traditional marriage, life, and the private and faith-based organizations that form the core of our American values.”

These are all very good things and like many, I will be watching to see what concrete steps Republicans offer to actually stop out of control spending, reduce the size of the federal government, repeal Obamacare, reduce our growing deficit and solve unemployment. These principles are fundamental to conservatism and there’s no doubt in my mind that a Conservative Congress can accomplish these things – or at the very least, serve as a backstop to prevent President Obama’s radical liberal agenda.

However, personally, I wish they would’ve also pushed for term limits and a balanced budget amendment because – many groups like the Tea Party are sick and tired of career politicians and budgets that saddle our children will trillions in debt.

I am glad though that Republican Congressional leaders are willing to put forth a pledge that clearly outlines the difference between conservatives and liberals because elections matter. After all, we’ve seen what we get with a liberal Congress: universal healthcare, higher taxes, weak foreign policy, refusal to acknowledge the use of the term “terrorist” or “terrorism,” weaker borders and amnesty talk, extreme government spending and a certain level of disregard for the sanctity of marriage and life.

“A Pledge To America” shows the clear differences in the two parties and motivates voters to support conservatives this election . . . and that’s a good thing. Also, when you provide voters with a checklist of what conservatives stand for and should do in office – voters can more easily hold members of Congress accountable – and if our GOP Congressional leadership fails to honor their “Pledge to America” we will vote them out too.

Great Polling Results for Mike Huckabee and 2012

There have been three big polls come out in the past week concerning possible Republican presidential candidates and 2012 match-ups.  Governor Mike Huckabee continues to excel in this early polling data when matched up against possible Republican primary opponents and President Obama, and Huckabee also consistently leads the pack when it comes to favorabilities and room for growth in the undecideds.

The Public Policy Polling’s recent 2012 match-up against Barack Obama shows Huckabee beating the incumbent President while being the only Republican challenger viewed with a positive favorability.

The latest Gallup poll shows that Huckabee is the Republican candidate with the highest favorables among ALL voters.

And lastly, the polling data released today by Politico shows incredible strength for Mike Huckabee as a possible 2012 contender.  He leads all other GOP challengers in favorabilities across the board with Republicans, Independents, and all voters while also having the most room for growth.

While it is unclear whether or not the Governor will compete again in 2012, it seems like this recent article in The New Yorker  has fueled new speculation for another presidential run.  Even Huckabee himself on a recent Fox News Sunday interview gave an indication that 2012 has not been ruled out and he realizes his strength in the polls.  He is now starting a new Fox News show that is sure to give conflicting signals.  Is Huckabee content with broadcasting conservative ideals over the airwaves or is he really following Ronald Reagan’s path to the presidency?

Mike Huckabee Shaking Up Races and the Polls

It has been stated before that Governor Huckabee has made some impressive endorsements this election cycle when it comes to supporting the candidates of conviction and not of convenience.

From a Huck PAC post:

Two such examples are U.S. Senate candidates Marco Rubio from Florida and Chuck DeVore from California. I chose to endorse them not because I thought they were the candidates most capable of winning but because they were the truly conservative candidates we need in office.

Like all Huck PAC endorsed candidates, Marco and Chuck are strong conservatives: pro-life, traditional marriage supporters, advocates for balanced budgets and reducing the size of a federal government. I was proud to stand with Marco Rubio when he was down by 25 points to his opponent. Now – Marco’s enormous popularity and massive lead in the polls actually forced his primary opponent – a sitting Republican Governor – to leave the Republican Party and try to run as an Independent.

Chuck might have a meteoric rise like Marco – only God knows the future – but I decided to support Chuck and Marco win or lose, because they are consistent conservatives who know what they believe and why they believe it.

Of course Washington has a different view. The pundits and some within the Republican Party think it’s a smarter strategy for my political future to go the other way and instead, endorse everyone that the establishment endorses. First of all, Huck PAC is not about my political future – it is about the future of our country. Second of all, I know I’m not the smartest kid on the block, but it seems like that predictable strategy of supporting establishment candidates is precisely what put our Party on the losing end of the 2006 and 2008 elections.

Huckabee has also had some impressive polling numbers recently.  He leads other potential 2012 candidates with favorabilities across the board, especially in the Independent voting block, and he has also topped the poll once again as being the strongest against Obama along with being the favorite for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.

Huckabee Defeats Obama in Latest Poll!

The latest Public Policy Polling shows for the first time in any poll a Republican challenger defeating President Obama in 2012 and that GOPer is Governor Mike Huckabee, and the win is aided largely by his lead with Independents.  When questioning the authenticity of this poll please remember that this is a Democratic pollster and they are the ones who accurately predicted the Massachusetts race and Scott Brown’s win.

What will Huckabee do in 2012?  His Fox News show continues to be the weekend sensation that is consistently blowing away the competition and The Huckabee Report heard on ABC Radio is gaining affiliates everyday.

Will he be the next Paul Harvey or will he be the person to unseat The One?  I would rather he choose the latter.

Huckabee in Dead Heat with Obama (Latest Poll)

Latest Public Policy Polling shows for the ninth month in a row that Governor Mike Huckabee is the strongest Republican to take on President Obama in 2012.  This poll is the closest match-up yet between Huckabee and Obama with Huckabee only trailing him by one percentage point while hold Obama to only 46% of the vote.

GOP12 has a good analysis:

The good news? They’re all doing well. The surprising news? Post-clemency, Huck continues to out-poll his rivals and effectively ties the POTUS.

1. Barack Obama 46% Mike Huckabee 45%

2. Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42%

3. Barack Obama 50% Sarah Palin 44%

4. Barack Obama 48% Tim Pawlenty 35%

Key findings:

a. Obama job approval: 49%/47%, net of +2%.

b. Mike Huckabee favorables: 35%/35%, for even.

c. Mitt Romney favs: 32%/36%, net of -4%.

d. Sarah Palin favs: 41%/50%, net of -9%.

e. Tim Pawlenty favs: 12%/24%, net of -12%, with 64% expressing no opinion.

By Gender:

a. Among women, Palin’s favs are 37%/51%, among men 45%/50%.

b. Among women, Romney’s favs are 27%/35%, among men 37%/37%.

c. Among women, Huck’s favs are 32%/32%, among men 40%/38%.

d. Among women, Obama’s favs are 54%/49%, among men 42%/54%.

By Party ID:

a. Palin’s fav among Republican is highest, but that’s a bit deceptive since her name ID is also so high.

For example, 29% of Republicans aren’t sure about Huckabee and 34% aren’t sure of Romney. But only 9% aren’t sure of Palin. So naturally, name id is a confounding variable on this set of results.

By Race:

a. Obama beats Huck by 31% among Hispanics, 77% among blacks. Whites favor Huck by 18%.

b. Obama beats Palin by 42% among Hispanics, 82% among blacks. Whites favor Palin by 13%.

c. Obama beats Romney by 31% among Hispanics, 86% among blacks. Whites favor Romney by 14%.

By region:

Obama beats every Republican in the Northeast and West, but each Republican beats Obama in the South and Midwest. That Midwest result is very important. In fact, Huck routs Obama there by 18%.

Notes: Commutation?

Mike Huckabee might be leaning against a run for Prez, but it’s hard to see how he could turn down a bid if he continues to lead the pack.

The CW throughout much of the year is that a Palin bid would starve Huck of oxygen. But that’s based on the assumption Palin is a stronger contender.

The more likely phenomenon is that a Huck bid would starve Palin of oxygen, because throughout this year, we’ve learned that right now he’s the stronger candidate.

Huckabee Topping the Polls

A couple of new polls are out that reflect Sarah Palin’s book bounce but Governor Huckabee remains the consistent frontrunner.  In the Fox News poll Huckabee is once again the GOP candidate with the highest favorables across the board.  As GOP 12 states, “Maybe he’s not the front-runner on paper, but he’s the front-runner with people.”  There was also a new Public Policy Polling released today in which for the eighth month in a row Huckabee fares best against a possible match-up with President Obama.

In book news, Huckabee’s A Simple Christmas is now up to #3 on the Wall Street Journal’s Best Seller list.

UPDATE:  A Simple Christmas is also #3 on the New York Times Best Seller List.

Also, Huckabee spoke to the Hudson Union Society earlier this month and said this:

When he [Barack Obama] was at Dover the other day, and went there to pay respect for soldiers, I heard a lot of people on the Right say “Aw, that’s just a cheap photo-op.” No, I think it was the Commander-in-Chief of our military paying respect to a dead soldier, and I’m grateful that he did that, and I was proud of him for doing that. And I think we all — as Americans — should give him credit for doing that.

He continued:

When he and Michele hosted the tricker-treaters on Halloween, quit finding something wrong with that. Say “Good, I’m glad that he and the First Lady are treating children to an experience at the White House.” And I just find it deplorable that some people on my end of the aisle want to find everything wrong and nothing right about the man as a man.

The underlying point, Huckabee concluded, was that knee-jerk criticism to the president was counter-productive to civil debate. “I hated it when people did that to George Bush,” he said. “They couldn’t even laugh at the man’s jokes they found something wrong with everything and if we do that to Barack Obama, then shame on us, shame on us. No wonder our country is so divided when that happens.”

I agree 100% with this statement.  It seems that conservatives have a short-term memory on how the left treated Pres. Bush and how much it outraged them.  The “you did it to us first” mentality is best left to first graders.

Huckabee Touring the Country and Rising to the Top

Governor Huckabee’s recent visit to Iowa to promote his new book A Simple Christmas:  Twelve Stories That Celebrate the True Holiday Spirit demonstrated that Iowans still like Mike.  He was met with great crowds at all of his three stops (which is similar to the enthusiastic response he is getting in other states as well) and at his last event of the evening he shared why he’s in the state and why he will be back in Iowa again.

A lot has changed since Huckabee first stepped foot in Iowa.   He began as a blip in the polls and now he is considered the front runner for the Republican nomination in 2012.  He has recently had a clean sweep in the polls; Rasmussen, CNN, PPP, and most recently Gallup have all proved him to be the number one choice for 2012.

The question that remains is will he leave his number one weekend cable show on Fox which dominates the ratings across the board and his in demand radio show that is up to 450 affiliates to pursue the nomination?  We sure hope so.

Is Huckabee the Next Reagan?

Kevin McCullough had a piece over at Townhall that smacked Matt Lewis back for dismissing Governor Huckabee in the race for the 2012 Republican nomination.  McCullough argued that Huckabee IS the Reagan in waiting:

And ultimately THAT is his biggest similarity to Reagan. Both were Governors, both used media to advance their message, ideas, and solutions following a failed primary in which both finished in second place. Both had the ability to reach people who had been turned off by the internal warring of partisan affairs. Both have the ability to see and project an image of America at her very best.

Notice how similar that statement is to the reason behind why I named this blog My Ronald Reagan.

Also, the new poll performed by Public Policy Polling shows that Huckabee is the strongest GOP candidate against President Obama in 2012 for the seventh consecutive time.  An article over at GOP 12 says it best:

The obvious take from this (and practically every other poll in the last few months) is that Mike Huckabee, yes, Mike Huckabee is the front-runner for the nomination, no matter how much the press tries pitting this as a Romney v Palin match.

Huckabee Closing the Gap on Obama!

From Public Policy Polling:

Obama still leading 2012 contests, but Huck getting closer

 

Raleigh, N.C. – Public Policy Polling’s fifth monthly survey looking at how Barack

Obama does when matched up against possible 2012 opponents reaches the same key

conclusions all of the other polls did: Obama leads all comers, and Mike Huckabee is the

strongest Republican at this point.

In this month’s iteration of the survey Huckabee polls the closest to Obama of any match

up so far, trailing the President just 47-44. A month ago the spread was 48-42.

Newt Gingrich comes the next closest, trailing 49-41, followed by Mitt Romney at 47-40

and Sarah Palin at 52-38.

In addition to coming the closest to Obama, Huckabee also has the best favorability

rating of the group. 45% of voters have a positive opinion of him to just 28%

unfavorable. The other Republican with a net positive rating, at 37/34, is Mitt Romney.

A plurality of voters have a negative opinion of both Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich. For

the former Alaska Governor it’s 49% unfavorable to 40% favorable, and for the one time

Speaker of the House it’s 42% unfavorable to 33% favorable.

“Mike Huckabee has received a lot less attention in the context of 2012 than Sarah Palin

and Mitt Romney,” said Dean Debnam. “But he’s quietly, at this very early stage,

emerging as the strongest GOP alternative to Barack Obama.”

Last month’s survey had found Obama leading Huckabee by 6, Palin and Gingrich by 8,

and Romney by 9.

PPP conducted a national survey of 909 voters from August 14th to 17th. The survey’s

margin of error is +/-3.3%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and

weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

Complete results are attached and can be found at http://www.publicpolicypolling.com.