Archive for the ‘Mitt Romney’ Tag

Mike Huckabee’s Visit to Iowa: The Beginning of the Beginning?

I have kept up to date on political news regarding the 2012 Republican presidential nomination for over two years.  The central theme that has come from most pundits on the Republican side  is that “Huckabee won’t run.”  After hearing this for two years I am now convinced that this opinion is more of state of denial than a stated fact.  I have watched poll after poll come out and have seen Governor Huckabee’s name at the top or near the top for Republicans’ choice for their next nominee.  Even though the conservative media pushes other candidates, such as Mitt Romney or Sarah Palin, and leaves Huckabee’s name out of the conversation completely or hits him with some cheap shots, the people are adament; they still want Mike Huckabee.  Perhaps someday the Republican elite will be forced to accept that.

This Sunday, November 21, the 2008 caucus winner will make his first trip to Iowa since the midterms to be the keynote speaker at Iowa Family Police Center Action’s “Celebrate the Family” event.  This trip to Iowa alone raised eyebrows about a possible run for the White House, but not as much as what Huckabee has been saying about the event.  First there was this statement from Huck PAC’s Executive Director, Hogan Gidley, stating the purpose of Governor Huckabee’s visit to Iowa when there was some confusion on what he will be speaking about at the event.  Next there was the interview that Mike Huckabee did with Steve Deace on the largest Iowa radio station in the days leading up to the event in which he seemed to be basically marking his territory and touching on all points important to the Iowa caucus voter, and he also made it clear that the door is open for another run.

So, when those on Huckabee’s same team who hate him because he is not one of them say that “he won’t run” I realize that they are actually saying a silent prayer because what is evident to me is also clearly evident to them.  It may be Mike Huckabee that the confetti will fall on during the next Republican National Convention and it also is likely it may be him we are swearing-in as President of the United States in 2013.

Mike Huckabee and The Pledge

Just last week Governor Huckabee topped the polls again.  First with the news that he was the only Republican to beat President Obama in a 2012 head-to-head poll and second that he once again tops the polls with a tie for Republican choice for 2012 nominee.

And now just yesterday he released his statement in regards to Republicans’ “Pledge to America.”  Good stuff.  Rumor is that Huckabee has a policy book scheduled to come out early next year.  Hmmmm…….

I read with great interest “A Pledge to America” introduced today by Republican Congressional leaders.

The 21 page document contains many good core conservative ideals – but as my parents taught me as a small child – the proof is always in the puddin’.

Republican Congressional leaders have pledged “to advance policies that promote greater liberty, wider opportunity, a robust defense, and national economic prosperity;” and “to honor families, traditional marriage, life, and the private and faith-based organizations that form the core of our American values.”

These are all very good things and like many, I will be watching to see what concrete steps Republicans offer to actually stop out of control spending, reduce the size of the federal government, repeal Obamacare, reduce our growing deficit and solve unemployment. These principles are fundamental to conservatism and there’s no doubt in my mind that a Conservative Congress can accomplish these things – or at the very least, serve as a backstop to prevent President Obama’s radical liberal agenda.

However, personally, I wish they would’ve also pushed for term limits and a balanced budget amendment because – many groups like the Tea Party are sick and tired of career politicians and budgets that saddle our children will trillions in debt.

I am glad though that Republican Congressional leaders are willing to put forth a pledge that clearly outlines the difference between conservatives and liberals because elections matter. After all, we’ve seen what we get with a liberal Congress: universal healthcare, higher taxes, weak foreign policy, refusal to acknowledge the use of the term “terrorist” or “terrorism,” weaker borders and amnesty talk, extreme government spending and a certain level of disregard for the sanctity of marriage and life.

“A Pledge To America” shows the clear differences in the two parties and motivates voters to support conservatives this election . . . and that’s a good thing. Also, when you provide voters with a checklist of what conservatives stand for and should do in office – voters can more easily hold members of Congress accountable – and if our GOP Congressional leadership fails to honor their “Pledge to America” we will vote them out too.

Great Polling Results for Mike Huckabee and 2012

There have been three big polls come out in the past week concerning possible Republican presidential candidates and 2012 match-ups.  Governor Mike Huckabee continues to excel in this early polling data when matched up against possible Republican primary opponents and President Obama, and Huckabee also consistently leads the pack when it comes to favorabilities and room for growth in the undecideds.

The Public Policy Polling’s recent 2012 match-up against Barack Obama shows Huckabee beating the incumbent President while being the only Republican challenger viewed with a positive favorability.

The latest Gallup poll shows that Huckabee is the Republican candidate with the highest favorables among ALL voters.

And lastly, the polling data released today by Politico shows incredible strength for Mike Huckabee as a possible 2012 contender.  He leads all other GOP challengers in favorabilities across the board with Republicans, Independents, and all voters while also having the most room for growth.

While it is unclear whether or not the Governor will compete again in 2012, it seems like this recent article in The New Yorker  has fueled new speculation for another presidential run.  Even Huckabee himself on a recent Fox News Sunday interview gave an indication that 2012 has not been ruled out and he realizes his strength in the polls.  He is now starting a new Fox News show that is sure to give conflicting signals.  Is Huckabee content with broadcasting conservative ideals over the airwaves or is he really following Ronald Reagan’s path to the presidency?

Mike Huckabee Shaking Up Races and the Polls

It has been stated before that Governor Huckabee has made some impressive endorsements this election cycle when it comes to supporting the candidates of conviction and not of convenience.

From a Huck PAC post:

Two such examples are U.S. Senate candidates Marco Rubio from Florida and Chuck DeVore from California. I chose to endorse them not because I thought they were the candidates most capable of winning but because they were the truly conservative candidates we need in office.

Like all Huck PAC endorsed candidates, Marco and Chuck are strong conservatives: pro-life, traditional marriage supporters, advocates for balanced budgets and reducing the size of a federal government. I was proud to stand with Marco Rubio when he was down by 25 points to his opponent. Now – Marco’s enormous popularity and massive lead in the polls actually forced his primary opponent – a sitting Republican Governor – to leave the Republican Party and try to run as an Independent.

Chuck might have a meteoric rise like Marco – only God knows the future – but I decided to support Chuck and Marco win or lose, because they are consistent conservatives who know what they believe and why they believe it.

Of course Washington has a different view. The pundits and some within the Republican Party think it’s a smarter strategy for my political future to go the other way and instead, endorse everyone that the establishment endorses. First of all, Huck PAC is not about my political future – it is about the future of our country. Second of all, I know I’m not the smartest kid on the block, but it seems like that predictable strategy of supporting establishment candidates is precisely what put our Party on the losing end of the 2006 and 2008 elections.

Huckabee has also had some impressive polling numbers recently.  He leads other potential 2012 candidates with favorabilities across the board, especially in the Independent voting block, and he has also topped the poll once again as being the strongest against Obama along with being the favorite for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.

Give to Huck PAC if you Actually Want to Give to Candidates

The PACs of Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, and Tim Pawlenty have all made their quarterly filing (Romney’s is monthly).  It appears that even though Huck PAC brings in the least money they are the ones who know how to get people involved in the process with grassroots support and it appears they are the only PAC that really knows why they exist which is to help candidates get elected

Please notice the percentage of Huck PAC’s money that actually goes to candidates and also notice that they know how to make the most difference with this money because they invest it in non-federal candidates.  In others words, elect conservatives from the bottom up.

I would have to say that the biggest loser here is Sarah PAC.  Why the heck even have a PAC?  Window dressing.

This is the summary from RightOSphere (please click link to get detailed chart):

Romney’s FnSA-PAC brought in more money than all the others combined. Huck-PAC brought in the least. In a turnaround from last year, Pawlenty’s Freedom First PAC pulled in 25% more that Sarah-PAC.

Only Sarah-PAC operated in the red this quarter.

In the race for grassroots support, Huck-PAC had the biggest percentage of their contributions coming from $200 and below. However in terms of sheer numbers, FnSA-PAC had more than all the other three combined in that category. FF-PAC had the least, both as percentage and as real dollars. It would appear that Pawlenty just isn’t catching on at the grassroots level yet.

Huck-PAC can stand with their head held high when it comes to percentage Contributions going out. They gave away by far the biggest percentage to others. FnSA-PAC gave the most in sheer numbers, but percentage-wise, they came in third. Only Sarah-PAC gave a smaller percentage than they. Sarah-PAC gave the least amount both in dollars and a percentage of all the PACs.

Huck-PAC also gave far more away to non-Federal candidates and causes – a whopping $8000 – than anyone else. While the others didn’t come close to his numbers, at least FnSA-PAC gave $990 to the non-Feds. Sarah-PAC and FF-PAC gave zilch, nada. Way to go supporting the local candidates, Huck! Good job!

Iowa Still Hearts Huckabee

Since being propelled into the national spotlight after winning the 2008 Iowa Caucuses Governor Mike Huckabee has become one of the leading conservative voices in the field.  Many in the Republican elite refuse to acknowledge this and one of their top wishes is that he would just go away.  Not too likely considering the level of support he gets in polls and in his tv, radio, book, and speaking endeavours.

The Beltway group can’t seem to grasp the popularity of someone like Mike Huckabee, and I believe that fact is his strongest suit.  He is someone who has guts enough to put Michelle Obama on his show in her Fox News debut to talk about their shared issue of fighting childhood obesity while in the same weekend comes down on CPAC when he gave his reasons why he didn’t attend.  He got criticism for both moves.  I don’t understand the criticism of the First Lady interview since I’m not sure how many people out there would like to be hammered for their spouses’ decisions while on the job, and that is what conservatives wanted Huckabee to do.  Also, people totally misunderstood the fight against childhood obesity.  Huckabee stated time and time again that the fight is a cultural shift and not the government’s responsibility.  And for the record, who cares if he received some flak for his CPAC comments because many in the grassroots echo the same opinion.  Plus, he is one of the few Republicans who can offer real health care solutions because of his extensive executive experience.

We are over the halfway mark now of time that has passed since that 2008 Iowa Caucuses and the time that remains until the 2012 ones.  Only Governor Huckabee knows if he will jump into the Presidential race again, but if he does it looks like Iowa will once again be strong for him.  As far as I know only two polls have been done that test the 2012 Iowa political waters.  Huckabee was the favorite in the November Des Moines Register poll and the latest poll done of the 2012 Iowa Caucuses performed by Right Way Marketing shows Huckabee with a comfortable lead.  The only thing that throws me off about this poll is the number of undecideds.  I am an Iowan and I know we like to dissect our candidates but this high amount of undecideds seems a bit odd to me.  Anyway, it is a snapshot of  the Hawkeye state right now and they still heart Huckabee.

Huckabee Defeats Obama in Latest Poll!

The latest Public Policy Polling shows for the first time in any poll a Republican challenger defeating President Obama in 2012 and that GOPer is Governor Mike Huckabee, and the win is aided largely by his lead with Independents.  When questioning the authenticity of this poll please remember that this is a Democratic pollster and they are the ones who accurately predicted the Massachusetts race and Scott Brown’s win.

What will Huckabee do in 2012?  His Fox News show continues to be the weekend sensation that is consistently blowing away the competition and The Huckabee Report heard on ABC Radio is gaining affiliates everyday.

Will he be the next Paul Harvey or will he be the person to unseat The One?  I would rather he choose the latter.

Huckabee in Dead Heat with Obama (Latest Poll)

Latest Public Policy Polling shows for the ninth month in a row that Governor Mike Huckabee is the strongest Republican to take on President Obama in 2012.  This poll is the closest match-up yet between Huckabee and Obama with Huckabee only trailing him by one percentage point while hold Obama to only 46% of the vote.

GOP12 has a good analysis:

The good news? They’re all doing well. The surprising news? Post-clemency, Huck continues to out-poll his rivals and effectively ties the POTUS.

1. Barack Obama 46% Mike Huckabee 45%

2. Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42%

3. Barack Obama 50% Sarah Palin 44%

4. Barack Obama 48% Tim Pawlenty 35%

Key findings:

a. Obama job approval: 49%/47%, net of +2%.

b. Mike Huckabee favorables: 35%/35%, for even.

c. Mitt Romney favs: 32%/36%, net of -4%.

d. Sarah Palin favs: 41%/50%, net of -9%.

e. Tim Pawlenty favs: 12%/24%, net of -12%, with 64% expressing no opinion.

By Gender:

a. Among women, Palin’s favs are 37%/51%, among men 45%/50%.

b. Among women, Romney’s favs are 27%/35%, among men 37%/37%.

c. Among women, Huck’s favs are 32%/32%, among men 40%/38%.

d. Among women, Obama’s favs are 54%/49%, among men 42%/54%.

By Party ID:

a. Palin’s fav among Republican is highest, but that’s a bit deceptive since her name ID is also so high.

For example, 29% of Republicans aren’t sure about Huckabee and 34% aren’t sure of Romney. But only 9% aren’t sure of Palin. So naturally, name id is a confounding variable on this set of results.

By Race:

a. Obama beats Huck by 31% among Hispanics, 77% among blacks. Whites favor Huck by 18%.

b. Obama beats Palin by 42% among Hispanics, 82% among blacks. Whites favor Palin by 13%.

c. Obama beats Romney by 31% among Hispanics, 86% among blacks. Whites favor Romney by 14%.

By region:

Obama beats every Republican in the Northeast and West, but each Republican beats Obama in the South and Midwest. That Midwest result is very important. In fact, Huck routs Obama there by 18%.

Notes: Commutation?

Mike Huckabee might be leaning against a run for Prez, but it’s hard to see how he could turn down a bid if he continues to lead the pack.

The CW throughout much of the year is that a Palin bid would starve Huck of oxygen. But that’s based on the assumption Palin is a stronger contender.

The more likely phenomenon is that a Huck bid would starve Palin of oxygen, because throughout this year, we’ve learned that right now he’s the stronger candidate.

Is Huckabee the Next Reagan?

Kevin McCullough had a piece over at Townhall that smacked Matt Lewis back for dismissing Governor Huckabee in the race for the 2012 Republican nomination.  McCullough argued that Huckabee IS the Reagan in waiting:

And ultimately THAT is his biggest similarity to Reagan. Both were Governors, both used media to advance their message, ideas, and solutions following a failed primary in which both finished in second place. Both had the ability to reach people who had been turned off by the internal warring of partisan affairs. Both have the ability to see and project an image of America at her very best.

Notice how similar that statement is to the reason behind why I named this blog My Ronald Reagan.

Also, the new poll performed by Public Policy Polling shows that Huckabee is the strongest GOP candidate against President Obama in 2012 for the seventh consecutive time.  An article over at GOP 12 says it best:

The obvious take from this (and practically every other poll in the last few months) is that Mike Huckabee, yes, Mike Huckabee is the front-runner for the nomination, no matter how much the press tries pitting this as a Romney v Palin match.

Huckabee Sweeps Latest Rasmussen Polls

Rasmussen Reports recently released polling data on prospective GOP 2012 presidential contenders and how they matched up against each other.  In a five way race for the nomination Governor Mike Huckabee leads the way with 29%, Mitt Romney is next with 24%, and Sarah Palin is third with 18%.

Rasmussen also polled the top three picks against each other in head-to-head match-ups in which Huckabee also comes out on top when polled against Romney and Palin.  He beats Romney 44% to 39% and he comes way out on top over Palin 55% to 35%.

While I don’t believe this polling predicts who the nominee will be for the Republican party in 2012, I do believe it tells us where the candidates with name recognition fall in the race leading up to the contest.

Perhaps the Republican establishment and conservative talking heads should start treating Huckabee with a little respect as they should be able to clearly see who America likes, and America likes Mike.  Perhaps Rush Limbaugh will see the light after Huckabee said this as part of his opening monologue on his show last weekend in which he defended Rush against the NFL.

Ironically, one of the most ridiculous labels thrown on me was that of a “big government liberal,” and even Rush Limbaugh said it during the presidential campaign. It certainly wasn’t good for my political career and now Rush is experiencing a bunch of lies being thrown on him and finding that it can matter.